Aidan Kim vs Karl Poling Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Effectiveness: Poling has a slightly higher second serve point win rate at 44.69% compared to Kim's 41.03%. Could this slight edge affect the match outcome? It certainly can, given its correlation with match predictions.
• Return Game Proficiency: Poling and Kim are closely matched in their return game stats on second serves, with Kim narrowly leading at 47.14% versus Poling's 47.05%. However, on first serve returns, Poling has an advantage with 28.05% compared to Kim's 25.5%.
• Pressure Situations: Poling displays better resilience under pressure, saving 56.18% of breakpoints. In contrast, Kim has saved 52.56% in similar situations.
• Annual Performance: Over the last year, Kim has a superior win rate of 74.19%, surpassing Poling's 53.73%. Could this highlight Kim's overall form superiority?
• Surface Strengths: Poling's best performance is on Indoor Hard courts (55% win rate), while Kim excels on Hard courts (63% win rate). Neither has shown proficiency on Grass.
• Tournament Level Experience: Kim has dominated at the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level with a 78.57% win rate, whereas Poling has managed 54.35% in a similar tier.
• Quality of Opposition: Poling has faced lower-ranked opponents on average (413.03), compared to Kim's opponents (288.74), indicating Kim has competed at a higher level of competition.
• Deciding Set Capability: Poling is more proficient in deciding sets, with a 56% win rate, while Kim has a lower success rate of 44%.
• Break Point Conversion: Both players have nearly identical break point conversion rates, with Kim slightly leading at 38.3% to Poling's 38.18%.

Editorial Prediction (July 29, 2025, UTC):

As we assess the factors that could influence the outcome of this tennis match, Poling shows a slight edge in key metrics such as second serve performance and pressure handling ability. However, this doesn't decisively tilt the scales.

Kim's overall yearly performance, a significantly higher win rate at the current tournament level, and better quality of opponents faced, suggest a higher baseline capability. This could be crucial in deciding the match outcome.

Both players have their peaks – Poling on deciding sets and specific surfaces and Kim through overall higher competitiveness and consistency. In a head-to-head comparison, these factors weigh heavily in deciding the favorite.

Considering Kim's superior win rate over the last year and experience against higher-ranked opponents, he is most likely to emerge victorious in this upcoming tennis match.